Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000571 0.000659 0.000752 0.000858 0.000976 0.001102 0.001246
2025-06-08 0.000419 0.000535 0.000668 0.000830 0.001022 0.001239 0.001502
2025-06-15 0.000348 0.000476 0.000631 0.000828 0.001070 0.001355 0.001711
2025-06-22 0.000294 0.000429 0.000600 0.000826 0.001113 0.001461 0.001908
2025-06-29 0.000249 0.000387 0.000567 0.000815 0.001139 0.001542 0.002073
2025-07-06 0.000211 0.000347 0.000533 0.000798 0.001154 0.001607 0.002216
2025-07-13 0.000191 0.000331 0.000528 0.000816 0.001213 0.001728 0.002432
2025-07-20 0.000172 0.000313 0.000519 0.000828 0.001263 0.001837 0.002633
2025-07-27 0.000151 0.000289 0.000497 0.000819 0.001282 0.001905 0.002782
2025-08-03 0.000131 0.000264 0.000473 0.000804 0.001292 0.001959 0.002912
2025-08-10 0.000119 0.000251 0.000466 0.000814 0.001335 0.002058 0.003104
2025-08-17 0.000106 0.000237 0.000454 0.000815 0.001365 0.002139 0.003273
2025-08-24 0.000090 0.000213 0.000426 0.000789 0.001355 0.002166 0.003368
2025-08-31 0.000076 0.000192 0.000400 0.000765 0.001346 0.002192 0.003463
2025-09-07 0.000068 0.000180 0.000388 0.000762 0.001369 0.002264 0.003625
2025-09-14 0.000060 0.000169 0.000377 0.000760 0.001392 0.002336 0.003787
2025-09-21 0.000052 0.000156 0.000362 0.000749 0.001401 0.002387 0.003918
2025-09-28 0.000045 0.000143 0.000344 0.000734 0.001400 0.002423 0.004028
2025-10-05 0.000042 0.000139 0.000346 0.000751 0.001453 0.002540 0.004260
2025-10-12 0.000038 0.000134 0.000344 0.000762 0.001496 0.002644 0.004473
2025-10-19 0.000034 0.000125 0.000332 0.000753 0.001506 0.002697 0.004610
2025-10-26 0.000029 0.000115 0.000317 0.000740 0.001506 0.002734 0.004724
2025-11-02 0.000026 0.000111 0.000315 0.000749 0.001545 0.002831 0.004932